One of the most amazing things is that most amateur Forex traders believe that the results of the Forex market are not random, but still they can’t get consistent profits. What those new Forex traders fail to understand is that events with probabilistic outcomes can produce consistent results. Seasoned traders consider forex to be a numbers game, which is like casinos and professional approach of professional gamblers.
In order to illustrate it, let’s look at the game of poker. In poker, casinos have approximately 4.5% ahead of the player. This means that despite the large sample size, the casino will generate a net profit of $ 0.45 for every dollar bet on the game.
You may find that 4.5% may not sound like much, but when you expect a total of $ 100million dollars bet in the casino during the year the casino will receive a 4.5million net profit!
Every professional Forex trader understands that every individual business is unique, even if the outcome is random due to the last trade or other business. New Forex traders must know that each trade will be random, and thus distribution between winning and losing will be totally unpredictable. But on a collective basis just the opposite is true. If a large number of transactions are carried out, there are models that produce consistent, predictable and reliable results. In other words, these methods can bring you solid income.
Now, let’s go deeper into the psychology of how new Forex traders manage to produce consistent results by following simple faith. Firstly, you need to know that it requires 2 levels of faith, to comply with in order to produce consistent results in random situations.
At the first level, we must believe in uncertainty and unpredictability of the outcome of each trade. On another level, you must believe that the outcome in a number of realized transactions is relatively certain and predictable. The degree of certainty is a function of how good their edge is.
It is the ability to believe in the unpredictability of the Forex market and simultaneously believe in security, when the result is a series of transactions that are performed by an individual trader.
Belief in the uniqueness of each trade prevents experience traders from engaging in unnecessary effort trying to predict the outcome of each trade. Seasoned traders have learned and completely understood the fact that they don’t know what will happen next. Most importantly, they don’t need to know that.
When you don’t need to know what’s becoming the next Forex, you never get emotional. In other words, your ego does not prevent you from effective trading. In order to be successful you have to admit that you do not know the market. You are to accept possible losses as well.
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